英倫金融[外匯評論]：歐元兌美元日內走勢預測

日內圖

BIAS：行情似乎將出現一個三角形走勢以完整構築走勢結構
阻力位
1.1375-79
1.1383-88
1.1407-16
1.1428
支撐位
1.1346-50
1.1324
1.1303
1.1250-70
主要分析：價格直接運行到1.1400-16的推演不湊效。相反，看起來似乎將在浪b/v出現相對較大的三角形形態，可能持續的時間是整個從1.1249運行到浪a / v的價格發展的2倍…這意味著
三角形態的倒數第二條價格腿大約在1.1383-88（過程中也要注意1.1375-79區間，出現較低級別的浪iii，後續會出現大概20個點的修正）。結合1.1383-88區間的壓制考慮，三角形形態最後一個價格腿應大概在1.1346-50。價格走勢一旦出現，隨後應該會進一步上行到1.1400-07區間—允許上行到1.1416。關注看跌反轉信號的出現以確定階段性高點，之後價格會出現明顯的下跌…
反向分析：價格直接跌破1.1324，將觸發下跌走勢。下一個支撐位大概在1.1250-70區間，但可能後續不會出現太多的修正。也可以考慮1.1215-20的支撐…
價格維持在1.1420上方，將有進一步上行到1.1423-45的風險…但這表明1.1373這個高位是個中部高點，後續出現三角形走勢，然後最後一個價格腿將運行到更高點位…
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文：
DAILY OUTLOOK FOR EURUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: We appear to be seeing a triangle that still needs to reach completion
Resistance: 1.1375-79 1.1383-88 1.1407-16 1.1428
Support: 1.1346-50 1.1324 1.1303 1.1250-70
MAIN ANALYSIS: The more direct route to 1.1400-16 just didn't work. Instead it seems as if we are seeing a comparatively huge triangle in the Wave b / v that looks like it will last for double the time for the entire development from 1.1249 to the Wave a / v… This suggests a penultimate leg of the triangle around 1.1383-88. (En route note the 1.1375-79 lower degree Wave iii and followed by a correction of 20 points approx). With the 1.1383-88 area capping the final leg of the triangle should be around 1.1346-50. Once seen, we should then see a move higher to the 1.1400-07 area - allow for 1.1416. Watch for bearish reversal indications to confirm a high that should see firmer losses...
COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only a direct break below 1.1324 would trigger direct losses. The next support looks to be around 1.1250-70 but may not generate much of a correction higher. Also consider the 1.1215-20 support...
Only above 1.1420 would risk further gains - towards 1.1423-45... but this would suggest that the 1.1373 high was the intermediate high, followed by a triangle and then the final legs higher...
Good trading
Ian Copsey